Two Trades That Will Push Nashville To Trade Juuse Saros
The New Jersey Devils have needed a star goalie all season long. With Juuse Saros reportedly available, the Devils should be going all in.
Despite no actual moves made just yet, the goaltending trade market in the NHL is heating up. As of this writing, we're 18 days from the trade deadline. It continues to look like teams will be making moves early this season yet again. The New Jersey Devils looked like they had very nearly acquired Jacob Markstrom earlier this month, but multiple issues broke those trade talks down. This may still happen, but another name has entered the trade market: Juuse Saros. The asking price, like every price put out there, is extremely high, but we need to take that with not just a grain of salt but a whole bucket at this point. Considering how general managers operate and what players are going for, legit monster returns are rare.
Just to throw some examples out there, we should all remember that the Coyotes wanted the equivalent of four first-round picks in the NHL Draft for Jacob Chychrun, which is insanity, but they ended up accepting a first and a pair of seconds. Another much bigger deal was the price the Buffalo Sabres got for number-one center Jack Eichel. He was traded for one first, a second, a good but always injured Alex Tuch, and a completely unproven Peyton Krebs (who was a former first-round pick). For recent-ish Devils history as well, we should remember how many first-rounders they got for former MVP Taylor Hall. The Arizona Coyotes gave up a first and third-round pick, NIck Merkley, Nathan Scharr, and defensive prospect Kevin Bahl. So the question is, where do you put a very different position high-end goalie like Saros?
Saros is 28 years old, turning 29 in April, and his contract is only $5 million for this and the next season. He is sitting with career-low numbers this season on a bad Nashville team, a .902 save percentage and 3.02 goals against average, respectively, but there are a lot of reasons to think this would be better on a different team. Previous to this season, his worst save percentage was .914, and in the previous three seasons, he has been hovering around the .920 mark, which is elite. Compare this to the other guys the Devils have been linked to, 34-year-old Markstrom and 30-year-old John Gibson; their numbers have been inconsistent. Why not pay a bit more at the best time you can when he is a little down for the best option available?
Why Nashville should move Juuse Saros now.
Nashville has been a mediocre team for a long time and always sits on that playoff bubble and has not been a threat actually to win the Stanley Cup in a long time. They always have had good goaltending, solid to incredible defense, and absolutely no offense. Saros should be good for a while still, but the entire defense core on that team is in their 30s and trailing off, while the only guy they can expect to put the puck in the net is 29-year-old Filip Forsberg. They have to decide on an incoming rebuild or retool. Getting as many pieces before they fall off and lose value would be the smart play versus being a good team that doesn't win and drafts 12-18 for the next three seasons.
This one would be the less likely option of the two, but if the Predators wanted full futures, it could pan out quite well. Holtz is supremely underrated and has a high-tier shot at the NHL level. In the right situation, he could shine in a big way, but it is hard to tell what other teams think of him at this point. That being said, he is not proven, unlike another young gun on this list. The draft pick would need to be the first-rounder without a doubt, and teams could easily be intrigued by other prospects on this team, especially the Predators, who have Andrew Brunette now, who would have some very valuable opinions on guys on this team.
It also includes the Devils top prospect Seamus Casey. That could push the Preds over the top, especially since the Devils are pretty good on the right side.
Dawson Mercer is a good two-way player that Nashville would love; he can play center or the wing and has put up great numbers in his three seasons with 17 and 27 goals in his first two years and 42 and 56 points in that season, respectively. This season he is on pace for 23 goals and 40 points which is slightly down, but he had a very bad start before coming on lately. His opportunity has been a little limited with how stacked this team's offense is, not to mention that he is not getting much powerplay time here, whereas in Nashville, he would be on that first unit immediately. If Predators fans think he wouldn't be enough as a core piece, just look at how mad Devils fans will be when this is suggested (including by the editor reading this now). It will change your mind.
The other pieces in this are also valuable. Second-round picks shouldn't be overlooked, but Seamus Casey is the real deal on defense, and wherever he goes, he should be a good offensive defender who can quarterback a solid powerplay, perhaps at the perfect time when Roman Josi is almost moving on, and they have already lost Tyson Barrie.
Casey was a draft-day steal for the Devils and has only been better, to the point if I was almost any NHL franchise, I would not move the guy for a first-rounder. This is not a maybe or toss in piece but a big one, almost for sure the Devils best prospect right now with Nemec an NHLer. The only reason he could be included in this is that the Devils will not be able to offer him a spot on this team anytime soon, and as a smaller offensive guy, he does not fit moving forward.
With this deal, the Devils get a guaranteed above-average starter for two years, probably more when he extends since he will want to be on a cup contender. Mercer's spot will leave a hole, but the team's forward depth is also solid, and Holtz should be given more opportunity with the spot open. This is a big win for the team.
Meanwhile, the Predators get a 22-year-old who plays a solid two-way game, has no injury history, can play wherever in the lineup you want, and probably will be their top forward within the next two seasons. They also get an offensive, puck-moving defenseman who will be ready in a year or two that coaches seem to trust in a big way already and whose style the NHL is trending towards, and a second-rounder to do whatever they want with. This is a win for both teams, who are trending in different directions despite being in similar spots in the standings and with very different needs.